We build AI-powered market making infrastructure for prediction markets—combining predictive intelligence, calibrated belief models, and systematic trading—providing institutional-grade liquidity and pricing for event derivatives.
Why prediction markets
Citadel Securities revolutionized market making. Their key insight was that the right technology – systematic trading and risk management – would dominate financial markets.
Prediction markets are the next frontier. While traditional finance has mastered equity and derivatives, prediction markets remain fragmented, illiquid, and inefficient.
Our mission
To bring predictive intelligence and institutional-grade market making to prediction markets through AI-powered pricing, hedging, and liquidity provision. We’re building the systematic infrastructure that will make prediction markets as liquid and efficient as traditional financial markets. Think Citadel for the future: belief-volatility surfaces, calibrated models, and institutional-grade infrastructure.
Predictive Intelligence Platform
From next-word to next-world prediction. We build large-scale language and reasoning models that forecast real-world outcomes — elections, earnings, and economic signals — treating beliefs as tradable states.
Market Intelligence & Automated Market Making
Liquidity that learns. We design algorithmic market-makers for event-based and derivative markets, bridging prediction contracts and option-style risk models.
Cross-Event Hedging & Risk Engineering
The missing layer between beliefs and portfolios. Markets don’t exist in isolation. We engineer statistical and causal hedges between correlated events — macro prints, equity outcomes, and geopolitical contracts — enabling structured belief portfolios and synthetic derivatives.
AI-Assisted Trading Systems
Execution guided by intelligence, not intuition. We deploy reinforcement-driven agents that translate model beliefs into executable strategies — dynamically sizing, hedging, and adapting to liquidity and market microstructure. This closes the loop between prediction and action, turning belief into alpha.
Join us
If this resonates, we’re hiring: engineers, researchers, and quants. If you’re excited to build the predictive intelligence infrastructure for the next generation of prediction markets, get in touch.
“You can never cross the ocean until you have the courage to lose sight of the shore.”